Marli Guimarães Fernandes

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Working Papers

When Women Run Against Men: Evidence from Political Platforms

Do female and male candidates differ in their political campaigns? And why do they differ? Using individual political platforms from legislative elections in France, I combine computational text analysis with a regression discontinuity design setup in the two-round French legislative elections to understand political campaign differences between women and men. I find that women give more salience to topics such as security and foreign policy than males. This result is stronger in places where there is more substantial voter gender bias: in districts that have never elected a woman or where the gender wage gap is higher. I causally show that when women run against men, as opposed to running against a woman, they strategically give more prevalence to male-stereotypical topics. However, once elected, women provide more coverage to female stereotyped issues, health and education compared to male colleagues. In contrast, when male politicians run against women, they adapt their platforms more marginally.

Nova SBE Applied Micro Lunch

Lisbon Micro Group

ENS Lyon

Verona Early Career Workshop in Economics

NICEP Conference 2024

3rd Junior Economists Meeting UniMi - JEM24

BoMoPaV Economics Meeting 2024

“Text-as-Data in Economics” Workshop at the University of Liverpool Management School

8th Monash-Warwick-Zurich Text-as-Data Workshop

7th University of Bolzano Workshop on Political Economy (scheduled)

18th CESifo Workshop on Political Economy (scheduled)

Ne me quitte pas! School closures and the rise of the far-right in France

with José Tavares

School closures and consolidations have been advocated in several OECD countries. This paper analyses the impact of school closures on far-right voting patterns in France between 1995 and 2022. Using a matched difference-in-differences design, we demonstrate that the closure of the only school in a municipality leads to an increase of 0.597 percentage points in votes for the right-wing Rassemblement National (RN) party. This initial effect grows in the following three elections, ultimately reaching 1.490 percentage points. We provide indicative evidence that the increase in the RN vote is more pronounced in areas with a higher proportion of children in the population. In municipalities with multiple schools at the time of closure, this effect is absent, suggesting that citizens are particularly concerned with access to public education.

Nova SBE PhD Seminar

Lisbon Micro Group

European Public Choice Society

22nd Journées Louis-André Gérard-Varet

16th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal

The effects of non-cognitive skills on the native-migrant wage gap

Work in Progress

Populism Contagion: Strategic Policy Responses to Populist Opponents (with Antonio Nicolò)

Clientelism in Public-Sector Firms: Evidence from Portugal (with Pedro S. Martins and José Tavares)

Natural Disasters, Political Narratives and Environmental Policies in Brazil